Time is right but changing very slowly. Believe it or not, Prime Minister Narendra Modi will have to sweat a lot to win the next election. Those situations are being created automatically, that is happening in the opposition parties, due to which it is not possible for the Lok Sabha elections of 2024 to be one-sided? First of all, the opposition parties, which Congress was without direction for their own reasons, all of them are getting direction. Lalu Yadav is back as the President of RJD. Akhilesh Yadav has also become the party president again without any discussion of family troubles.
On the other hand, the vibrancy has returned in the Congress. With Mallikarjun Kharge becoming the president, the party will surely revive in Karnataka and the South. Eknath Shinde and the party seems to be failing in front of Uddhav Thackeray in Maharashtra across the Vindhyas. This will become more clear from the Uddhav rally at Shivaji Park in Mumbai on the day of Dussehra. Sharad Pawar will definitely form a Grand Electoral Alliance in Maharashtra with Shiv Sena along with Congress. Devendra Fadnavis-Eknath Shinde, no matter how strong they take, their pair would have died by the time the Lok Sabha elections came. In Maharashtra of 48 Lok Sabha seats, it will not be easy for the BJP to win as many seats as the last election.
This means that the faces of the opposition leaders and satraps, who were earlier determined that this would make Narendra Modi an easy victory in 2024, all of a sudden they are seen working hard, showing attitude and preparing and resolving. The vote math of Bihar, and eastern Uttar Pradesh is changing on the axis of Nitish Kumar. Faces like Nitish-Lalu Yadav, Hemant Soren of Bihar-Jharkhand and mixing of small parties, Left votes, OBC-Muslim-Dalit-Adivasi votes with them will make BJP one seat each in 54 seats of both the states. After ten years of rule, Narendra Modi with his magic, his rhetoric, whatever noise and crowd he makes with his drum, the experience of the people at the fore and the caste equation on the ground cannot produce results like 2014 and 2019.
The biggest change is that the mood that prevailed among the people because of Rahul Gandhi will change after October 19 when Mallikarjun Kharge joins the front. Kharge does not mean much to the Hindi speaking people of North India. But he is also Hindi speaking. He is one of the experienced leaders of the South. Because of them, if BJP loses five-eight Lok Sabha seats in Karnataka and Congress fights the next assembly elections on the basis of law, then Modi-Shah’s grand campaign of the South will be punctured. Because Kharge will not be the face of the post of Prime Minister in the minds of the people like Rahul Gandhi himself was considered as a people and used to ask that hey who deserves the Prime Minister, the BJP campaign will not be much hit.
This means that the opposition and the Congress also benefit from Kharge becoming the president that the psychology created among the people about Rahul Gandhi will gradually end. Secondly, ahead of the leaders of all the opposition parties (North-South-East-West), the dialogue between Mallikarjun Kharge and Digvijay Singh (who may now become the Leader of Opposition in the Rajya Sabha) and Ashok Gehlot should improve the work of electoral coordination, common strategy. With Kharge’s anti-BJP-Sangh khanti thinking, there will be no doubt in any community, class about him that he can be sold in the market of Modi-Shah’s horse-trading. Meaning as there is doubt about Arvind Kejriwal that he is doing secret politics to win BJP in Gujarat, Himachal, there will be no such doubt. He is neither a puppet of Pappu, Lallu and Gandhi family nor the face of the Prime Minister. But as the president of the national party, speaking in Hindi-English, from Stalin to Sitaram Yachury, Lalu-Nitish, Kumaraswamy, Muslim-tribal leaders are able to talk to everyone. Only then it is possible that the new post-election Congress becomes the pivot to mobilize the opposition.
